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关于油价波动:一些有用的文献  

2006-09-06 20:37:22|  分类: 读书笔记 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

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主要参考文献:
Abramson, Bruce and Finizza,Anthony.“Probabilistic Forecasts from Probabilistic Models: A Case Study in the Oil Market.” International Journal of Forecasting, 11(1), 1995, pp.63-72.
Adelman, M. A, ( 1993). The Economics of Petroleum Supply: Papers by M A Adelman 1962 -1993. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA
Alhajji,A. F. and  D. huettner (2000)“OPEC and world crude oil markets from 1973 to 1994: Cartel, oligopoly, or  competitive? ” The Energy Journal, Volume 21(3),PP.31-60
Alessandro, Lanza,,Matteo Manera,Margherita Grasso ,and Massimo Giovannini,(2003).
Long-run Models of Oil Stock Prices .NOTA DI LAVORO 96.2003. IEM – International Energy Markets. October 2003.
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Ferderer J P. Oil price volatility and the macroeconomy:a solution to the asymmetry puzzle. Journal of Macroeconomics.1996,18: 1~16Gately, D., and J. F. Kyle(1977), “Strategies for OPEC’s pricing decisions”, European Economic Review 10(1977) PP.209-230.
Gately, D., (1983),“ OPEC: retrospective and prospects 1972-1990”, European Economic Review 21(1983) PP.313-331
Gately, D., (1984).“A Ten-Year Retrospective on OPEC and the World Oil Market”, Journal ofEconomic Literature 22, no 3: 1100 -1114.
Goldstein,Joshua S., Xiaoming Huang, and Burcu Akan,Energy in the World Economy, 1950-1992.International Studies Quarterly,Vol.41,No.2(Jun.,1997),241-266.
Griffin, James M. “OPEC Behavior: A Test of Alternative Hypotheses”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 75, No. 5. (Dec., 1985), pp. 954-963.
Hamilton,James D., and Maria Herrera (2001). Oil Shocks and Aggregate Macroeconomic Behavior: The Role of Monetary Policy. University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series with number 2001-10.
Hamilton,James D., Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II.The Journal of Political Economy,Vol.91,No.2(Apr.,1983),228-248.
Hamilton J D, Herrera A M. Oil shocks and aggregate macroeconomic behavior: the role of monetary policy. University of California San Diego, June 2000.
Hamilton J D. This is what happened to the oil price-macroeconomy relationship.Journal of Monetary Economics. 1996,38: 15 ~ 220
Hamilton, J.D. (1994), Time Series Analysis. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
Heal, G. and Chichilnisky, G. (1991), Oil and International Economy, Oxford: Clarendon Press.
Hnyilicza, E. and R. S. Pindyck (1976), “ Pricing policies for a two-part exhaustible resource cartel, the case of OPEC”, European economic review 8(1976) PP.139-154
Hotelling, H., (1931). The Economics of Exhaustible Resources. Journal of Political Economy,39: 137-175.
Houthakker, Hendrik, S, "Whatever Happened to the Energy Crisis?," Energy Journal, April 1983, 4, 1-8.
Hnyilicza, E. , and R. S. Pindyck (1976), “ Pricing policies for a two-part exhaustible resource cartel, the case of OPEC”, European economic review 8(1976) PP.139-154.
Huntington H G. Crude oil prices and U.S. economic performance: where does the asymmetry reside? The Energy Journal. 1998, 19 (4): 107~ 132
Jones, C. T. (1990). “OPEC Behavior Under Falling Prices: Implications For Cartel Stability,” The Energy Journal 11(3): 117-129.
Krichene1,Noureddine, (2005).A Simultaneous Equations Model for World Crude Oil and Natural Gas Markets. IMF Working Paper,African Department, 2005 International Monetary Fund. February 2005.
Krassimir, Petrov. “The Proposed Iranian Oil Bourse”,
http://www.energybulletin.net/12125.html.
Krugman,P.(2000)“The energy crisis revisited”,http://web.mit.edu/krugman/www/opec.html.
Lee K, Ni S, Ratti R A. Oil shocks and the macroeconomy: the role of price variability. The Energy Journal.1996,16 (4): 39~56
Loungani, Prakash., ”Oil Price Shocks and the Dispersion Hypothesis”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 68, No. 3. (Aug., 1986), pp. 536-539.
Lanza, Alessandro , Matteo Manera, Margherita Grasso ,Massimo Giovannini(2003) ,“Long-run Models of Oil Stock Prices” ,
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=467283.
Mckie, James, W. (1978) , “Oil imports: is any policy possible?” in W. J. Mead and A. E. Utton, eds. ,U. S. Energy Policy: Errors of the Past, Proposals for the Future, Cambridge Mass: Basinger, pp. 29-44.
Morana, Claudio. “A Semiparametric Approach  to Short-term Oil Price Forecasting.” Energy Economics, 23(3), 2001, pp.325-338.
Morse, Edward L. The Oil Market in 2006:Observations on Fundamentals and Geopolitics,HESS ENERGY TRADING COMPANY, LLC
Oweiss, Ibrahim M. "Economic Impact of the Gulf War", The Gulf Crisis: Background and Consequences, edited by Ibrahim Ibrahim, CCAS, GU, Washington, D.C., 1993, pp. 289-299.
Oweiss, Ibrahim M. "Petrodollar Surpluses: Trends & Economic Impact," The Journal of Energy and Development, Vol. IX, No. 2 Spring 1984. pp. 177-202.
Oweiss, Ibrahim M. "Petro-Money: Problems and Prospects," Inflation & Monetary Crisis, edited by G. C. Wiegand, Public Affairs Press, Washington, D.C. 1975. Pp.84-90.
Owen, Roger, “The Arab Economies in the 1970s”, MERIP Reports, No. 100/101, Special Anniversary Issue. (Oct. - Dec., 1981), pp. 3-13.
Pierce, James L.; Jared J. Enzler; David I. Fand; R. J. Gordon.” The Effects of External Inflationary Shocks”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 1974, No. 1. (1974), pp. 13-61.
Pindyck, R.S., (1978), “Gains to producer from the cartelization of exhaustible resource”, Review of Economics Statistics,PP.238-251.
Pindyck, R. S. ,and J. J. Rotemberg(1983),“Dynamic factor demands and the effects of energy price shocks”, The American Economics Review, December 1983
Putnam, Robert D. Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games, International Organization, 1988, 42-4, pp.427-460 .
Ramcharran H..” OPEC's production under fluctuating oil prices: further test of the target revenue theory”. Energy Economics, 23 (2001).
Rasche, Robert., John. A. Tatom(1977)”The Effects of the New Energy Regime on Economic Capacity, Production, and Prices”, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, May,1977.
Rosenberg, Nathan. (1980), “Historical Relationship between Energy and Economic Growth,” in Paul Steven eds. The Economics of Energy Vol.1:135-150.
Roubini, Nouriel and Setser, Brad. “The Effects of the Recent Oil Price Shock on the U.S. and Global Economy.” August 2004 .http://www.stern.nyu.edu/globalmacro/ .
Salant, S. W,(1976).” Exhaustible Resources and Industrial Structure: A Nash-Cournot Approach to the World Oil Market”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol.84,No.5(Oct.,1976),1079-1094.
Slade, margaret E., Kolstad, Charles and Weiner, Robert J. (1993), “Buying Energy and Nonfuel Minerals: Final, Derived, and Speculative Demand.” In A.V. Kneese and J.L. Sweeney, eds. Handbook of Natural Resource and Energy Economics, vol.3: 935-1009
Scott, Bruce, R.(1981), ”OPEC, the American Scapegoat”, Harvard Business Review, Jan. –Feb.,59(1). Pp. 6-30.
Sen, Jayanta, "Buyers' Cartel for Oil? Feasible and a Free Lunch Worth $5 Trillion to $50 Trillion for the US!" (November 15, 2005). http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=869120.
Stevens, Paul. (2000), “Introduction,” in Paul Steven eds. The Economics of Energy, Vol1. Cheltenham: Edword Elgar.
Stevens, Paul. “The Determination of Oil Prices 1945-1995: A Diagrammatic Interpretation.” Energy Policy, 23(10), 1995, pp.861-870.
Solow, Robert M.  The Economics of Resources or the Resources of Economics. The American Economic Review, Vol. 64, No.2,pp1-14.
Sweeney,James L. Economics of Energy,www.stanford.edu/~jsweeney/paper/ Energy%20Economics. PDF.
Tatom, John A. “The Link Between The Value of the Dollar,U.S. Trade and Manufacturing Output: Some Recent Evidence:’ this Review (November/December 1988), pp.24-37.
Teece, D. (1982), ‘OPEC Behaviour: An Alternative View’, in Griffin and D.Teece, OPEC Behaviour and World Oil Prices, London: Allen & Unwin.Verleger(1982)
Watkins, C. C. (1992), “The Economic Analysis of Energy Demand: Perspectives of a Practitioner,” in David Hawdon eds. Energy Demand:Evidence and Expectations, Chapter 2, London: Survey University Press and Academic Press Limited, 29-96. Also in Paul Stevens  eds. The Economics of Energy, V1. Cheltenham: Edword Elgar.205-272.
Weller, Christian  E. and  Scott Lilly (2004). “Oil Prices Up, Dollar Down – Coincidence”, Center for American Progress, November 30, 2004.
WTRG, 2004.Oil Price History and Analysis,http://www.wtrg.com/prices.htm.
Berkmen, Pelin., Sam Ouliaris,  Hossein Samiei:石油市场结构及油价高企的原因,IMF报告,国研网编译。
陈达忠:“原油价格对经济影响的非对称性——文献综述”,《国际石油经济》,2005年第8期。
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丁一凡:世界石油形势的变化与中国的石油安全,《国际经济评论》,2004年第11/12期。
菲利普•维尔力格:“能源:正在卷起一场风暴吗?”,载C·弗雷德·伯格斯坦主编,《美国与世界经济——未来十年美国德对外经济政策》,朱民等译,经济科学出版社,2005年版。
杰奎斯·克莱默、德贾瓦德·沙雷西-伊斯法哈里:《石油市场模型》,王芳译,北京大学出版社,2004年版。
胡蓉、吕宁:“国际原油价格预测因素探讨”,《石油化工技术经济》,2002年第6期。
管清友、张明:“国际石油交易的计价货币为什么是美元?”,《国际经济评论》,2006年第7/8期。
黄海洲:“中国发展的中长期金融政策和策略:来自大金融史的启示”,《国际经济评论》,2006年第7/8期。
梅孝峰:“国际市场油价波动分析”,北京大学中国经济研究中心讨论稿。
蒲勇健:斯塔克伯格垄断:世界石油产量与价格变动之谜的一种理论解释,《经济科学》,1995年第6期。
蒲志仲:“国际油价波动长周期现象探讨”,《国际石油经济》,2006年第6期。
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赵农、危结根:“石油价格波动的分析”,《世界经济》,2001年第12期。
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